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A New Localism
Local communities become the focus of experiments in sharing (or "gift") economies, sustainable environments, and new civic processes.



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Achieving Standards and Personalization
An emerging dilemma for education is how to achieve personalization while maintaining standards.



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Agile, Smart Schools
Smart places, objects, and structures combine with flexible strategies, creating schools that can adapt to meet changing needs and conditions.



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Alternative Financial Models
Peer-to-peer lending, social-network based credit, and micro-insurance create new opportunities for urban poor to gain financial stability.



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An Expanding Learning Economy
The knowledge economy and a growing consumer value on personal growth drive a diverse market for educational and learning experiences ranging from food, toys, and games to housing and travel.



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An Explosion of Learning Agents
New roles, processes, and relationships in the learning economy spawn new career paths in education. Includes content experts, learning coaches, network navigators, classroom managers, and cognitive specialists.



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Bio-Distress
Includes re-merging diseases, massive pollution, bioweapons and extreme climate variability.



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Cheap Mobile Devices
Lower priced laptops, PDAs, cell phones, and iPods create a new customizable platform for learning content and interactive curriculum.



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Cognitive Apprenticeships
Includes making thinking visible, leveraging authentic contexts, and fostering skills transfer.



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Collective Assessment
New methods of group intelligence and problem-solving harness diverse educators to create rapid student assessment based on quantitative and qualitative learning outcomes.



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Community Value Networks
Map and make visible tangible and intanglible assets (like knowledge, trust, reputation, loyalty) to create richer relationships of exchange.



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Cross Mentoring for Urban Survival
Urban youth peer groups pioneer successful strategies for navigating extreme urban life.



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Deep Personalization
More people reject mass product and service offerings, including education, engaging in do-it-yourself projects.



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Developing Readiness and Resilience
Includes rapid adaptation, social networking, health and energy managemnt, cooperative work practices, futures thinking and ad hoc organization.



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Distributed Innovation
Innovation networks, solutions markets, incubators, and Creative Commons licenses tap experts, entreprenuers, and positive deviants who break rules in order to revitalize innovation in education.



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Do-It-Yourself Toolkits
Range from diabetes management to starting your own home school or creating your own curriculum.



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Extended Child
Adapting to extreme environments, more parents will seek ways to augment their kids via pharmaceuticals, digital technologies, and surgeries, creating new expectations of normal and new kinds of divides.



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Extreme Diversity
Genetic history, health status, specific illness, and household structure will be important criteria for affiliation in addition to race, language, and economics.



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Feral Cities
More cities succumb to lawlessness as service infrastructures fail and social fabrics tear.



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First-Person View of Geography
Targeted information embedded in place turns each location into a personal space. Watch for schools, malls, and neighborhoods to become digitally tagged for learning.



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Fragmenting Preferences
Gen X prefers to email or engage in face-to-face contact. Gen Y like instant messaging or a shared presence. Gen Z prefers simulation, role-playing games and alternate realities.



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Gen Y Attributes
Includes serious gamers, skilled multi-taskers, agile decision makers, social networkers, cooperators and being flexible with change.



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Global Trade Pedagogy
Maverick, edge educators and administrators sell and buy curriculum on the global market. China leads the way in math and science; the U.S. in creativty and innovation.



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Healthy Shopping
People expect more health benfits from products and services, including from their schools, teachers, and neighborhoods.



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Increasing Chronic Illness
Youth obesity rates rise and 40% of public school students need mental health care.



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Increasing economic instability
The rich/poor gap



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Increasing Economic Stability
The rich-poor gap widens.



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Institutions for Collective Action
Peer-to-peer networks, distributed communication, and social accounting systems enable new strategies for avoiding the tragedy of the commons.



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Integrating Digital Natives and Digital Immigrants
An emerging dilemma related to media-rich pervasive learning is integrating digital natives with immigrants—adults, teachers, and those youth without access to digital media.



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Kinetic Learning In Context
Digital-physical fusion creates new ways of learning through emotion and movement and create new relationships among learners and their communities.



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Leveraging Institutional Predictability and Network Adaptability
An expanding learning economy raises a dilemma between leveraging the predictability of traditional institutions and the adaptability of new network structures.



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Lightweight Infrastructures
Lower coordination costs and smarter and lighter components create flexible infrastructures that focus on local needs and enable urban revitalization.



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Media-Rich Pervasive Learning
Immersive media enable anytime, anyplace learning, stimulating new educational practices and research.



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Media-Savvy Youth
In 2005, 87% of teens were online. 78% used instant messaging. 57% shared their creations online and 45% used cell phones.



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Networking IQ
Includes six key factors: group participation, making referrals, online lifestyle, personal mobile computing, using location-based applications and computer connectivity.



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Open Economy Principles
Includes empowering the periphery, connecting network nodes, leveraging self-interest, supporting self-directed work, and building transparency and trust.



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Participatory Governance
Participatory civic practices reframe community priorities.



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Participatory Pedagogy
Students take an active role in reflecting on their learning. Elements include interactive portfolios, Wikis, ongoing, real-time updates, and collective input.



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Personal Digital Media
Collaborative, social, and interactive elements include Web logs, photo logs, video logs, Wikis, podcasting, machinima, and mashups.



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Personalized Learning Plans
New brain research and data-driven assessments enable intentionally differentiated learning experiences to meet distinct student needs.



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Reconciling Extreme Diversity and Deep Localism
An emerging dilemma over the next decade will be reconciling the demands of extreme diversity and the needs for building coherent, integrated local communities.



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Rescripting Life
The standard narratives of adolescence, early adulthood and post-retirement get written.



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Seeking Spirituality
A renewed emphasis on personal growth, values, and ethics across the ideological spectrum.



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Serious Games
World-building, alternate reality games, and other forms of digital play create new a new mode of pedagogy.



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Smart Mobbing
Increase in skills of local businesses, health practitioners, parents, educators, and activists to form ad hoc groups to break the rules and catalyze change.



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Social Cities
Cities that place a premium on connectedness, stability and democracy thrive.



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Supporting Teachers' Rights & Changing Teachers' Roles
A core dilemma will be to support teachers’ rights and their changing roles and responsibilities.



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Technologies of Cooperation
Enable networks of groups to form and create new economic, social and political structure. Includes elements of mobile computing, social accounting and reputation tools, knowledge collectives and peer-to-peer production.



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The Rise of Long-Tail Economics
Niche markets become cost-effective to serve, enabling personalization.



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Unbundled Education
Open content and curriculum, social media and communities of action redefine the role of schools and their distinct identity. Includes elements of network hubs, resource coordination, ongoing assessment and managing student development.



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Urban Computing
Ubiquitous wireless service, displays everywhere, global positioning used frequently and global information systems are developed and prevelant.



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Urban Learning Commons
Educational and learning resources are treated as critical common-pool resources much like clean water, health oceans and fertile land, necessary for sustainability in an innovation-driven economy.



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Visible Community Learning
Students and teachers make the community the classroom, transforming the status of learning in communities.



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VUCA Communities
Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity, Ambiguity. Economic instability, lack of shared norms, and weakening infrasturctures challenge urban communities to redefine sustainability



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Map Legend

Drivers   Drivers
The vertical side of the left column of the map. These are six categories driving all trends, hotspots and dilemmas. Click on the purple bar for a definition of that driver.
Impact areas   Impact Areas
The horizontal axis of the map. These are five key areas of activity where major trends are revealed from different perspectives. Click on the purple bar for a definition of that impact area.
Hotspots   Hotspots
These are key trends that we think have broad impact on education and often make good starting points for exploring the map.
Dilemmas   Dilemmas
These are issues that can't be solved with either/or thinking but require new strategies that go beyond simple problem solving.

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